Methods: This research will identify factors contributing to social, health and educational risks in a longitudinal study of 3000 12-18 year olds in South Africa. Children from urban and rural areas with high HIV prevalence will be recruited and followed for two years. Study sites will be urban and rural areas in Kwa-Zulu Natal, Mpumalanga, and the Western Cape will be recruited and followed for two years. At recruitment, youth will be categorized with reference to their primary parental caregiver’s AIDS-related morbidity and mortality: as AIDS-orphaned (primary parental caregiver has died due to AIDS), parental AIDS-affected (primary parental caregiver living with HIV/AIDS), or parental AIDS-unaffected (primary caregiver alive and not living with HIV/AIDS). We will also classify other-orphans (youth orphaned by causes other than parental AIDS) or other parental illness (youth whose parents have other chronic diseases).

At each time point we will assess children’s mental and physical health, educational, sexual risk and social outcomes. We will collect information on parental health and mortality, child caring, household composition and economic conditions, access to social grants and health services, school attendance, children’s social networks, family and peer dynamics. Interviewer-guided questionnaires have been designed and pre-piloted with children.

Sampling: Carers and children will be sampled utilizing stratified systematic random sampling of South African Census enumeration areas (EAs). Within EAs, GIS mapping will identify random routes (in dense informal areas are unsuitable for traditional street-based sequential sampling), using methodology developed for SA Census collection in rural and informal areas (Stoker, 1985). Determination of adult AIDS-illness and death will be made using WHO clinical criteria and the verbal autopsy (VA) method. The VA method has been validated in Southern African community samples for determining AIDS-related deaths in high-prevalence areas where clinical evidence is unavailable or unreliable (Hosegood et al., 2004, Lopman et al., 2006), and showed sensitivity of 83% and specificity of 75% (Lopman et al., 2006). Our previous research has successfully used this international standard to distinguish AIDS-orphaned and other-orphaned children in South Africa. Fieldwork staff will be rigorously trained and supervised on use of this method.

Measurement tools: Scales and items have been selected based on prior use with this population, standardisation and strong psychometric properties. Many have been tested in our prior studies (Cluver et al., 2007, Cluver et al., in press-c, Cluver et al., 2008, Cluver et al., in press-b, Cluver et al., in press-a). They have been further informed by our ongoing qualitative study in the Western Cape. Where possible child self-report will be supported by data from school and health records. Tools will be translated and backtranslated into isiXhosa siSwati, isiZulu, isiNdebele and Sepedi. Children will complete face-to-face 1 hour interviews in the language of their choice. The survey will assess psychological health (i.e. depression, anxiety, PTSD and behavioural problems) physical health (i.e. contraction of TB, nutrition, upper respiratory tract infections), education (i.e. school enrolment, attendance, performance), and social functioning (i.e. peer relationships, family functioning). Potential mechanisms for child outcomes will include poverty, parental illness, extent and timing of caregiving tasks undertaken by children, stigma, parental monitoring, state support and succession planning.

Ethics: Ethical processes and full informed consent are essential. Interviewers will be isi-Xhosa-speaking auxiliary social workers or community health workers, trained in all aspects of the research protocol (recruitment, ethics, survey administration, data safety management), empathetic and experienced in working with HIV-affected children. The planning of this research was informed through consultations with SA Department of Social Development officials, NGO representatives, local social service providers, and an advisory group of AIDS-affected children. For the ongoing qualitative stage, ethical approval has been granted by Oxford University, University of Cape Town, Cape Town Child Welfare and National Department of Social Development. For the proposed quantitative stage, ethical approval will be sought from all these bodies, as well as the Mpumalanga Health REC.


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